Germany: Christian Democratic Union in trouble

Latest German election humiliation puts Merz on borrowed time as CDU unrest grows

Deborah Colein Berlin

Chancellor acknowledges disastrous state election results but vow to push on is likely to further alienate voters, and his own party

 Europe live – latest updatesMon 21 Sep 2026 11.04 BSTShare

Friedrich Merz called it a “disaster”, and that was even before the full scale of the catastrophe for himself and his conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU) came into view after Sunday’s state elections.

In what one outlet called a “power move”, the German chancellor made a highly unusual televised speech just minutes after polls closed in the states of Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, attempting to get ahead of the narrative with a pledge to stay on and fight for his economic recovery programme.

But as the results trickled in, it became apparent that the CDU had not only scored its worst-ever result in a state election, in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, it had crashed out of a regional parliament altogether for the first time in postwar history with just 4.9% of the vote in the region on the Baltic coast.

The far-right Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) came out on top for the third time in a German state, drawing 38% against 35.5% for the centre-left Social Democrats, Merz’s federal coalition partner.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/sep/21/german-state-election-humiliation-friedrich-merz-borrowed-time-cdu-unrest-grows

About:

CDU/CSU: the sister parties

The sister parties CDU and CSU, known as the “Union” for short, form the traditionally strongest party in Germany.

05.05.2025

Here we introduce you to the German political parties that are represented in the Bundestag. In Germany, parties only win seats in parliament if they obtain five percent or more of the votes.

The party:
CDU / CSU
Christian Democratic Union of Germany / Christian-Social Union

Established:
26 June 1945

Members:
CDU 363.000 / CSU 126.000 (2024)

MPs in the Bundestag:
208 of 630 MPs in total

Historic figures:              
Konrad Adenauer, first Federal Chancellor from 1949 to 1963
Ludwig Erhard, Federal Chancellor from 1963 to 1966
Kurt Georg Kiesinger, Federal Chancellor from 1966 to 1969
Helmut Kohl, Federal Chancellor from 1982 to 1998
Angela Merkel, first female Federal Chancellor from 2005 to 2021

Profile: The CDU and its Bavarian sister party, the CSU, were established as non-denominational Christian parties directly after the Second World War by members of the civilian resistance to National Socialism. Their core values are rooted in Catholic social doctrine, Conservativism, and commitment to a liberal (social) market economy that is provided with a regulatory framework of rules and laws by the state. The CDU/CSU regards itself as a “catch-all party” that expressly combines many different interests and therefore aims to speak and develop policies on behalf of a very large part of the population.

The CDU runs for election in all Germany’s states apart from Bavaria, where its place is taken by the CSU, which only stands in Bavaria. The two parties are often known colloquially as “the Union”. In the Bundestag they form the CDU/CSU parliamentary group. The “Union” is traditionally the strongest party in Germany and has governed the country the longest in various coalitions.

Website: www.cdu.de

Links to portraits of other political parties:
SPDGreensFDPLinkeAfD

© www.deutschland.de

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2019: Jim Ratcliffe in Saudi – how is that going, Jim?

2bn Saudi investment

Jim Ratcliffe

UK energy firm Ineos is to invest $2bn (£1.6bn) in building its first ever manufacturing plants in Saudi Arabia.It follows an agreement with the Kingdom’s state oil company Saudi Aramco and French energy firm Total.Ineos said the facilities would produce chemicals for sectors such as automotive, aerospace and electronics.Chairman Sir Jim Ratcliffe, who is Britain’s third richest man, called it “a major milestone that marks our first investment in the Middle East”.“We are bringing advanced downstream technology which will add value and create further jobs in The Kingdom.”Under the deal, Ineos will develop three chemical plants at Jubail 2, a $5bn petrochemicals complex run by Saudi Aramco and Total.It said the plants, which will begin production in 2025, would give it better access to markets in the Middle East and Asia.It follows its recent investments by the company in Belgium, China and the US.

https://notltd.co.uk/news/ineos-billionaire-jim-ratcliffe-in-2bn-saudi-investment/

Monday, Sep 21, 2026

Reported Strike on Saudi Arabia’s Jubail Complex Raises Global Energy Supply Concerns

Alleged Iranian attack intensifies fears of disruption to critical petrochemical infrastructure and international markets

A reported attack by Iran on Saudi Arabia’s vast Jubail petrochemical complex has heightened concerns about the stability of global energy supplies, as markets assess the potential impact on one of the world’s most important industrial hubs.

The facility at Jubail is a cornerstone of Saudi Arabia’s petrochemical sector and plays a significant role in global production chains.

Any disruption to operations at the site could have ripple effects across international markets, particularly given its scale and strategic importance.

https://saudipress.com/reported-strike-on-saudi-arabia-s-jubail-complex-raises-global-energy-supply-concerns

And 19th Sept, 2026, anti immigration right winger said:

Sir Jim Ratcliffe ‘must go’ after anti immigration rant, says Man United fan group

Alex Roberts,19.09.2026 21:36

Sir Jim Ratcliffe 'must go' after anti immigration rant, says Man United fan group
Sir Jim Ratcliffe ‘must go’ after anti immigration rant, says Man United fan groupREUTERS

The Manchester United Muslim Supporters group says club co-owner Sir Jim Ratcliffe “must go” after his recent rant about immigration.

Ratcliffe, 73, left the UK for Monaco in September 2020 and has since paid £0 in taxes to the country of his birth.

Despite being an immigrant himself, the Man United co-owner once again spouted his anti-immigration rhetoric in an interview with the BBC on Saturday (September 19).

Ratcliffe said the UK was in decline because of a combination of high taxes and high immigration.

He has previously apologised for “offending some people” with his language after saying the UK had been “colonised by immigrants”.

Now, Manchester United Muslim Supporters Club (MUMSC) have submitted a letter of no confidence in Ratcliffe and INEOS’ ownership.

“Our players, staff, stewards, security teams and supporters come from different countries, cultures, ethnicities, religions and backgrounds. Manchester United would not be Manchester United without them,” they said.

“Manchester United does not belong emotionally to investment funds, shareholders or billionaires.

“After years of decline, broken promises and repeated failure, Manchester United Muslim Supporters’ Club has lost confidence in the current ownership structure of Manchester United Football Club.

“Enough is enough. It is time for change. The Glazers (co-owners) and Sir Jim Ratcliffe must go.”

On Ratcliffe’s previous comments, they added: “We hoped a lesson had been learned. Clearly, it has not.

“This week, Sir Jim has again placed immigration and people receiving benefits at the centre of his explanation for Britain’s problems, arguing that nobody is ‘tough enough’ to deal with either.

“We find these latest comments deeply disappointing and completely unacceptable.

https://www.tribalfootball.com/article/soccer-premier-league-sir-jim-ratcliffe-must-go-after-anti-immigration-rant-says-man-united-fan-group-e3e98834-47d8-4d9a-b050-c22a36c0503c

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Learning from disaster events: warning all or only some?

The Nepal floods question: When the Himalayas collapse, who gets warned?

The August 26 floods struck Nepal and Tibet, but raised broader concerns about cross-border warnings that experts say can no longer be ignored.12 mins

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People cross a river via a zip line in the aftermath of flash floods at Trishuli in Nepal’s Nuwakot district on September 11, 2026.
People cross a river via a zip line in the aftermath of flash floods at Trishuli in Nepal’s Nuwakot district on September 11, 2026 [AFP]

By Tauseef Ahmad and Sajid Raina

Published On 19 Sep 202619 Sep 2026

New Delhi, India – On the morning of August 26, the Himalayan landscape above Nepal’s Rasuwa district changed in minutes.

A mass of ice and rock broke loose high in the mountains and sent a violent surge of water, mud and debris down the Lhende Khola River. The torrent travelled through valleys, swept away settlements and infrastructure and eventually reached the Nepal-China border.

………..

The warning problem

A warming climate is altering glaciers, snow cover, permafrost and high-altitude lakes. At the same time, roads, hydropower projects, tourist facilities and settlements have pushed deeper into mountain valleys.

That combination is creating a new risk landscape in which one hazard can trigger another.

An avalanche can block a river. A blocked river can form a temporary lake. A sudden release can become a debris flow. That debris can destroy a road or bridge, block another river and create another flood downstream.

The August disaster in Nepal showed how quickly such a sequence can unfold. It also exposed a weakness in the way early-warning systems are often designed.

Many systems are built around a particular hazard: rainfall, river level or glacial lake outburst flood. But the Himalayas do not always respect those categories.

In July, the International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development, or ICIMOD, warned that a below-normal monsoon should not be interpreted as a safer one.

“The biggest misunderstanding is that less seasonal rainfall means lower flood risk,” said Saswata Sanyal, a disaster risk reduction specialist at ICIMOD.

“A drier monsoon can still be a dangerous monsoon,” he added, warning that seasonal averages cannot capture the cloudbursts capable of producing catastrophic flooding in mountain valleys.

The Nepal disaster went a step further.

The immediate trigger was not simply heavy rainfall.

Scientists have been examining an ice-rock avalanche and other possible processes that temporarily obstructed the river system before releasing a destructive surge. ICIMOD has described the event as an ice avalanche rather than a conventional glacial lake outburst flood, while other scientists have examined the role of local seismic activity and other high-altitude processes.

That distinction matters.

warning system waiting for rainfall or a rising river may not provide enough time when the real trigger happens several kilometres upstream and above the line of sight of the communities below.

Kashmir’s warning signs

Thousands of kilometres away, scientists studying Kashmir’s Himalayas are seeing another part of the same problem.

A study published in the Journal of Glaciology this year mapped 155 glacial lakes above 2,500 metres (8,200ft) across the Himalayas in Indian-administered Kashmir.

The researchers found that the area of ice-contact proglacial lakes – bodies of water that form directly against the margin of a melting glacier, trapped by moraine ridges, bedrock basins, or ice dams – had increased by 26 percent between 1992 and 2024.

Five lakes were classified as having very high susceptibility to glacial lake outburst floods.

An outburst from those lakes, the researchers found, could threaten several thousand buildings, 15 major bridges, roads and a hydropower project.

More significantly, the study warned that hazards could occur in chains, with an upstream lake outburst potentially triggering secondary events downstream.

For Irfan Rashid, a glaciologist and associate professor at the University of Kashmir who co-authored the study, the implications extend beyond individual lakes.

Rashid recently told Al Jazeera that without action, the melting, thinning, and destabilisation of glaciers, seasonal snow cover, and permafrost along the Hindu Kush-Himalayas system would increase, and water shortages could become a major problem across the Upper Indus, Ganga and Brahmaputra basins by the end of the century.

That is why the Nepal disaster resonates in Kashmir.

The landscapes are different, the rivers are different and the individual hazards may differ. But the underlying problem is increasingly similar: Communities living downstream of a rapidly changing high-altitude environment may have little time to respond when something breaks loose above them.

The challenge is particularly acute in places where roads, bridges and hydropower projects occupy narrow valleys.

Once a mountain river begins carrying enormous quantities of rock, ice and mud, infrastructure designed for conventional floods can quickly become irrelevant.

Read more at:

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/19/the-nepal-floods-question-when-the-himalayas-collapse-who-gets-warned

Learn more at:

Human Security Under Climate Stress in the Hindu Kush Himalaya Region: A Scoping Assessment

Creators

Description

The Human Security assessment report 2026 examines how accelerating climate change is reshaping human security across the Hindu Kush Himalaya (HKH), one of the world’s most climate-vulnerable regions. Covering key countries and major river basins, the report highlights how climate impacts cascade across water, food, and energy systems, intensifying risks for nearly two billion people. Using a poly-risk, people-centered framework, it assesses emerging vulnerabilities, adaptive capacities, and governance challenges, and identifies priority entry points for strengthening resilience and protecting livelihoods under increasing environmental stress.

https://www.icimod.org/

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Ukraine strikes on Moscow during fixed elections

Ukraine hits Moscow with ‘largest ever’ drone attack

Major oil refinery in Russian capital set ablaze as voting draws to a close in stage-managed parliamentary elections

Flames and smoke are seen rising from an oil refinery in Moscow. Photograph: UGC via AP
Flames and smoke are seen rising from an oil refinery in Moscow. Photograph: UGC via AP

Max Seddon

Mon Sept 21 2026

Ukraine has hit Moscow with what local authorities said was the largest ever drone attack on the capital, setting a major oil refinery ablaze and killing at least two people, as voting in Russia’s stage-managed parliamentary elections entered its final day.

Moscow’s mayor Sergei Sobyanin said air defences shot down 450 drones as they approached the capital on Saturday night, calling the attack “unprecedented”.

Sobyanin said the attack was “clearly planned to disrupt the elections”, adding that “the enemy did not succeed”.

Several drones hit the Moscow Refinery in the south of the capital, one of Russia’s largest.

https://www.irishtimes.com/world/2026/09/21/ukraine-hits-moscow-with-largest-ever-drone-attack/

Russia vows to ‘intensify’ strikes on Kyiv after Ukraine’s election-day drone attacks

As it happened

Europe

Issued on: 20/09/2026 – 07:16Modified: 21/09/2026 – 04:24

By:

FRANCE 24

………

  • Russia’s parliamentary election for the first time included residents of regions that Moscow illegally annexed from Ukraine after the start of its full-scale invasion more than 4 1/2 years ago.

(FRANCE 24 with AFP, AP and Reuters)

And a few days earlier:

Vladimir Putin humiliated as he struggles to vote in Russia’s ‘fixed’ election

Voting for the already predetermined election is underway.

By Lauran O’Toole, Senior Reporter

20:10, Fri, Sep 18, 2026

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/2249886/vladimir-putin-voting-russia-election

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ICE ‘investigates itself’ as people are shot (Wilber Garces Perez, 28, of Venezuela) at traffic stops and children traumatized in detention centers

ICE agent shoots and wounds man at traffic stop in Austin, Texas, officials say

Anti-ICE protests break out in push for transparency as unnamed man is in serious but stable condition

Emiliano Tahui Gomez in Austin and agencyMon 21 Sep 2026 06.00 BSTShare

A US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer shot and wounded a man on Sunday afternoon in Texas’s capital city of Austin, local authorities said, as protesters demonstrating against the Trump administration’s hardline anti-immigration campaign quickly gathered at the scene.

The man was initially reported to be in serious but stable condition at a hospital after being shot once in the torso on the city’s north side, Austin’s police chief, Lisa Davis, said at a news conference with the mayor and other city officials.

The Department of Homeland Security, which oversees ICE, did not participate in the news conference and didn’t immediately respond to requests for details.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/sep/20/man-shot-ice-agent-austin-texas

Dilley ICE Facility Exposed as Charity Founder Reveals Kids Are Harassed for Laughing Under 24-Hour Lights

Nonprofit founder alleges children at Texas ICE facility are kept under 24-hour lights and harassed for laughing

By Crisnel Longino
Published 16 September 2026, 12:02 PM BST

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ICE
A woman who visits Dilley ICE detention centre claims children face 24-hour lights and harassment from guards for laughing as families struggle with basic needs @AllSidesNow/X

Trump’s Dilley ICE facility has come under renewed scrutiny after Casey Revkin, a co-founder of the nonprofit Each Step Home, described children living under 24-hour lights and claimed some are even harassed by guards for laughing.

Speaking on The Katie Phang Show, Revkin said she has seen families struggle with food, water, heat and other basic needs at the Texas detention centre, while her organisation now sends more than $10,000 (£7,400) a week to help detained families buy essentials.

Children Face 24-Hour Lights at Dilley

Revkin, who has visited the Dilley Immigration Processing Center in South Texas, described the facility as a harsh environment for families with young children.

She said the centre is made up of trailers in a hot, dusty area and claimed the lights remain on around the clock for security reasons, making it difficult for children and parents to sleep properly.

Her most striking allegation concerned the way children are treated when they behave like children.

‘Children in ICE detention in Dilley get in trouble for laughing,’ Revkin said during the interview.

When asked to explain, she added, ‘They get harassed by their guards for laughing.’

Reports published earlier this year have also documented complaints about round-the-clock lighting, food quality, medical care and conditions inside the facility.

ProPublica separately reported that children detained there described missing school, friends and ordinary comforts while being held with their families.

Read more

FBI Told to Stop Investigating ICE After Patel Halted Renee Good Probe, Now ICE Investigates Itself

ICE Agents Track Down Syracuse Woman, Demand She Delete Post Calling for ICE Agents’ Indictment

Ex-ICE Director Warns Agency Has ‘a Problem’ After 17 ICE Shootings, Blames Traffic Stops and Training

ICE Cowboy In, ICE Barbie Out: Markwayne Mullin Now Leading Trump’s DHS After Kristi Noem Removal

https://www.ibtimes.co.uk/dilley-ice-facility-children-conditions-1820086

Back in January of this year:

 Is This Happening to Us?’ Daily Number of Kids in ICE Detention Jumps 6x Under Trump

As the Trump administration detains large numbers of kids, advocates worry ‘it’s only a matter of time before we see a child die.’

A photo shows a crowd of adults and children in turquoise, red, pink and green coats standing between buildings on a detention center campus. Some people are holding up signs.

Families detained at the Dilley Immigration Processing Center in Texas wave signs during a demonstration on Saturday, Jan. 24, 2026. Brenda Bazán/Associated Press

https://www.themarshallproject.org/2026/01/29/ice-kids-in-detention-numbers

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Saudi under attack – is there betrayal in the wind?

US-Houthi Deal: Houthis Agree to Keep US Ships Safe in Red Sea, Seek No US Strikes in Yemen

O

Outlook News DeskCurated by: Saher Hiba Khan

Published at: 17 September 2026 3:23 pm

Reported understanding follows secret Muscat talks as Houthis seize Mokha and Mayun near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait

Houthis reportedly agree to keep US vessels out of attacks in the Red Sea if Washington avoids direct military action in Yemen. File Photo

Summary of this article

  • Houthis reportedly agree to keep US vessels out of attacks in the Red Sea if Washington avoids direct military action in Yemen.
  • The reported understanding follows secret US-Houthi talks in Muscat as the group captures Mokha and Mayun near Bab el-Mandeb.
  • Saudi Arabia is seeking air-defence support as fighting with the Houthis intensifies along Yemen’s Red Sea coast.

https://www.outlookindia.com/international/us-houthi-deal-houthis-agree-to-keep-us-ships-safe-in-red-sea-seek-no-us-strikes-in-yemen

Saudi-Houthi war: ‘Won’t attack US, Israeli ships’; report claims Houthis held secret meet with US officials, agreed to uphold ceasefire deal; what exactly happened?

Donald Trump on Saturday claimed the Houthis contacted his administration, urging Washington to stay out of the Saudi-Houthi war.

https://www.outlookindia.com/international/us-houthi-deal-houthis-agree-to-keep-us-ships-safe-in-red-sea-seek-no-us-strikes-in-yemen

Then

Fire erupts near Riyadh airport as Houthis claim attacks on Saudi capital

Posted about 15h agoabout 15 hours ago, updated about 12h agoabout 12 hours ago

A column of smoke rises over a road in a desert
A large plume of black smoke was seen rising from the fuel storage area at King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh. (Reuters)

In short:

Smoke and flames have been seen near Riyadh’s international airport as Yemen’s Houthis claim to have attacked “sensitive” sites in the Saudi capital.

Saudi Arabia had sent alerts warning of potential danger around Riyadh but has not yet confirmed the Houthis’ claims. 

The Iran-backed Houthis have been launching attacks against Saudi cities, energy infrastructure and shipping, creating new threats to global oil supplies. 

………

Reuters video and photographs showed a huge pillar of black smoke rising in the area, with the airport highway, main terminal building and other facilities in the foreground. At one point in the video, flames were visible rising from behind what appeared to be fuel tanks.

Large plume of black smoke rises from the fuel storage area at King Khalid International Airport, in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, September 19, 2026. Picture taken with a mobile phone. (Reuters)

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-09-20/fire-near-riyadh-airport-as-houthis-attack-saudi-capital/107173362

And Trump family have received $bns from Saudi, eg:

In 2022, Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF) invested $2 billion in Affinity Partners, a private equity firm founded by Jared Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law, after he left the Trump administration.

A House committee opened an investigation into claims that Kushner leveraged his position in his father-in-law’s administration to land the $2 billion Saudi investment. In October, House Democrats requested that a special counsel be appointed to investigate whether Kushner was acting as an unregistered foreign agent.

https://longbrief.com/how-is-trump-family-making-billions-from-the-presidency/

Saudi Crown Prince MBS Asked Trump Twice For Strikes On Houthis, US President Declined: Report

Published By :

Last UpdatedSep 11, 2026, 11:01

https://www.news18.com/world/saudi-crown-prince-mbs-asked-trump-twice-for-strikes-on-houthis-us-president-declined-report-ws-l-10322657.html

Then Saudis say they will sell US Treasury stock which would result in US owning its own $tn’s if dollars in debt.

Back in 2025:

Finance

Riyadh increases exposure to US by snapping up treasuries

September 23, 2025 5:19 PM

https://www.agbi.com/finance/2025/09/saudi-arabia-raises-its-exposure-to-us-by-snapping-up-treasuries/

Saudi Arabia Reports Significant Decrease in US Treasury Holdings

The Kingdom’s holdings decline by $10.6 billion, reflecting market dynamics and investment strategy.

Saudi Arabia’s holdings of US Treasury securities were recorded at $126.9 billion in January, a decrease of $10.6 billion from the previous month, according to the latest data from the US Treasury.

This represents a month-on-month decline of 7.71 percent.

Saudi Arabia maintains its position as the 17th largest holder of US Treasury securities and remains the only member of the Gulf Cooperation Council in the top 20 holders.

https://saudipress.com/saudi-arabia-reports-significant-decrease-in-us-treasury-holdings

Strike on Houthis imminent? US, Turkey could help Saudi Arabia amid conflict with Houthis A US attac…

Read more at:

https://www.theweek.in/news/middle-east/2026/09/20/strike-on-houthis-imminent-us-turkey-could-help-saudi-arabia-amid-conflict-with-houthis.html

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US was a friend to Ukraine…..seems a foe now

Here are sime extracts from Phillips P. O’Brien’s Substack:

Ukraine-Russia War Talk: New Episode

Weekend Update #203: A Week Which Demonstrated Why Trump Is So Helpful To Russia

Operation Vivaldi; Russia Batters Ukraine At Range; Trump, Diesel And Ukrainian Energy Strikes.

Phillips P. OBrien

Sep 20READ IN APP

Hi All,

This was a week which crystallized a number of things. When you add them all together, however, the key thing is that it demonstrated just how important the USA has become, through the Trump administration, in aiding the Russian war effort. This might have been hidden in all the distracting stardust being thrown in the air about the Graham Tariff Bill, or the recently announced (extremely weird) possible sale of some motley air defense capabilities to Ukraine (arrival uncertain and unknown). However, behind the stardust which the press seems too out of its depth to properly interrogate the reality is that the war has entered into a fascinating contrast.

Phillips’s Newsletter is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

………

On the land, where the Ukrainians were less reliant on the USA, it is the Ukrainians who are showing the initiative and dealing some substantial blows to Russian military strength. If what we are hearing about Operation Vivaldi is only partially true, the Ukrainians are continuing to advance in the combined operations of infantry and UAVs.

In the ranged war, relying on Ukrainian sources, the Ukrainians are also showing some important strengths—when they concentrate on the right targets. However it is in their ranged campaign against the Ukrainians, aided enormously by the USA starving Ukraine of air defense (a great example of why relying on the weapons of another power is always so dangerous) that the Russians are being their most effective—and almost certainly will continue to be so for the upcoming winter.

Add it up, and what we see is that Russia’s area of initiative in the war has been enormously abetted by the USA and Donald Trump.

………..

“In addition to the advance itself, we can say that during this operation a fairly large number of enemy officers were also destroyed and a fairly significant number of enemy personnel were taken prisoner. Perhaps, in recent years, this is the largest replenishment of the exchange fund that came from the Ukrainian side,”

………..

The Ukrainian General Staff claimed 11,090 Russian personnel losses in the seven daily reports from 14 to 20 September 2026, an average of about 1,584 a day. Here is a breakdown.

Russia Batters Ukraine At Range

The last week was actually a lighter week than the one before when it came to Russian ranged attacks on Ukraine. They launched attacks every night, but with a smaller number of systems than the seven days previously. Here is a table of the number of units attacking—mostly drones (which means Geran/Shaheds) from Sept 14-19. We do not have last night’s figures yet.

…………

The reality of the ranged war, even with these reduced attacks, remains the same however. Ukraine can do little to intercept Russian ballistic missiles. The attack on 17 September, for instance, the only example of the Russians making a large ballistic missile assault last week, saw the Ukrainians claiming that they could not intercept one of them. The Ukrainian Air Force listed only Shahed/Gerans and Banderols as being neutralized that night.

Indeed, this slower week could be a sign of the Russians stocking up for larger attacks in the fall and winter. They have a track record of doing that.

This is the reality. Ukraine, because of the US depriving it of Patriots. Even in the announcement yesterday that the US might be selling some air defense capability to Europe to pass on to Ukraine, there was no mention of Patriots. What was announced was some “possible” sale of deficient systems. Indeed, the press did not even know how to report what happened—as in this CBS report.

Trump, Diesel And Ukrainian Energy Strikes

Another area where the Ukrainians confirmed that they can be effective when not impeded in the USA, is their ongoing campaign against Russian fuel production. We have confirmation of that this week because Donald Trump came out and pleaded with the Ukrainians to do Putin a favor and stop attacking Russian refineries.

Things were so bad, that Trump begged once and lied twice—before the Ukrainians made it clear exactly what their position is. It was a fascinating “exchange” that started last Sunday (13 September). Then Trump said this to the press:

“Mr. Zelenskyy has to do one thing. He has to stop knocking out diesel fuel in Russia…We spoke to Mr. Zelenskyy about it. There are plenty of other targets. Don’t hit diesel fuel, because that’s hurting, that’s hurting the world.”

Even Trump has to know that it is his war with Iran that has so distorted the world oil market and done most of the work causing the steep rise in world diesel prices (which are pretty remarkable). One study is that the Iran War has caused three times the reduction in world diesel supplies as that caused by the Ukrainian campaign against Russian oil.

However, Trump decided to blame the Ukrainians and help Putin when discussing the issue publicly. And this was not all. On September 14, Trump doubled-down on his claim that the rise in diesel prices was Ukraine’s fault but, miraculously, claimed that he had gotten the Ukrainians and the Russians to agree to stop all energy attacks. He tweeted:

“Ukraine has agreed not to hit Russian Energy targets. Russia has agreed to do, likewise!…The World’s Diesel price rise is mostly caused by the Russia/Ukraine War, not Iran.”

It is still shocking how the President of the USA can just make up nonsense, spew it out, and some people will believe him.

We could see that this latest announcement was complete and total nonsense because on the subsequent days, both the Ukrainians and Russians went out and openly attacked energy targets. Overnight on 14–15 September, the Ukrainians hit the Syzran refinery and on Thursday 17 September a Ukrainian drone attack damaged an oil refinery at Yaroslavl (both refineries are still reportedly out of action).

Zelensky even openly contradicted Trump, in denying any deal had been reached. He said Ukraine might consider a deal, but as of now “Russia hasn’t stopped striking our energy sector… And our responses to them for this are tangible.”

It was a revealing exchange. As always for Trump, Ukraine is the baddies and Russia is to be protected. That will never change.

The more interesting thing is the confirmation of the seriousness of the Ukrainian campaign on Russian oil production. It is why this must be the key target of the Ukrainian ranged campaign. If the Ukrainians have no ability to defend themselves against Russian ballistic missiles because of the USA, the least they can do is not listen to the USA when the American president pleads with them to stop their most effective strategic campaign.

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In November 1967, the same year as the Six Day War, the UN Security Council unanimously adopted UN SC Resolution 242, which required the “withdrawal of Israeli armed forces from territories occupied in the recent conflict.”

Above: The war of June 1967 began with a pre-emptive air strike by Israel in which it destroyed the air force fleets, while they were on the ground, of three neighboring nations, Jordan, Syria and Egypt. Without air capability these nations had little ability to defend their territories and this war ended quickly: it is known as the Six Day War. At the end of this war, Israeli forces had occupied all the areas in pink on this map: the West Bank, Gaza, the Golan Heights which belonged to Syria (at the northeast/upper right corner of Israel) and the Sinai Peninsula which belonged to Egypt (large area to the left/southwest of Israel).

The Camp David Accords, mediated by U.S. President Jimmy Carter, were fulfilled in 1982, at which time all of the Sinai Peninsula was again under Egyptian control.

Above: This map shows in green the areas that Israel has had under military occupation since 1967. As noted in the previous map, the Sinai Peninsula was returned to Egyptian control by 1982.

In November 1967, the same year as the Six Day War, the UN Security Council unanimously adopted UN SC Resolution 242, which required the “withdrawal of Israeli armed forces from territories occupied in the recent conflict.” As of 2017, Israel has refused to comply with this UN Security Council resolution for fifty years.

https://www.palestineportal.org/learn-teach/israelpalestine-the-basics/maps/maps-1967-to-present/

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Shrinking Diesel availability

Spike in red diesel prices as Middle East conflict continues

Jenni Green 09 September 2026

Red diesel prices have soared into three-figure territory again, putting extra cost pressure on farmers and growers looking to run their machinery during the busy autumn period.

Two weeks ago, red diesel was ticking along at about 95-97p/litre – a level it has been at for much of the summer.

See also: Track our red diesel prices here

But last week it jumped to 105p/litre according to the Farmers Weekly average collected from farm suppliers across the country, and this week it was quoted at more than 107p/litre – up almost 70% on last year’s price.

This is despite the fact that in June, following pressure from the NFU, the Treasury cut duty on red diesel from 10.18p to 6.48p/litre, its lowest rate in 20 years.

The upturn reflects developments in the Middle East, with signs of the US-Iran conflict widening, including a recent attack by Houthi rebels based in Yemen on Saudi Arabian oilfields.

Brent crude oil prices soared to nearly $100/barrel (£74) this week, a level not seen since May.

With the Ukraine/Russia war also rumbling on and oil vessels being targeted in the Black Sea, the outlook remains volatile.

https://www.fwi.co.uk/business/markets-and-trends/input-prices/spike-in-red-diesel-prices-as-middle-east-conflict-continues

UK Diesel Price Today

Track live UK diesel prices by region, compare fuel cards for your fleet, and stay ahead of wholesale price movements driven by global oil markets.

Prices By Region →

https://dieselprices.co.uk/

US mulls diesel export ban as prices skyrocket

Senate majority leader ‘open to considering’ blocking shipments amid rising oil costs

above 4pc, driving up prices on supermarket shelves and forcing the Bank of England to raise interest rates.

The crunch is already inflicting fresh pain on motorists. Diesel prices at British pumps are averaging almost 192p a litre, back to the highs of early April.

The diesel squeeze has been exacerbated by Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refineries. Reuters reported on Tuesday that half of Russia’s top six ​diesel producers had significantly cut back or halted output in September.

Moscow recently extended its own diesel export ban until Sept 30.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2026/09/15/us-mulls-diesel-export-ban-as-prices-skyrocket/

Saudi Aramco cuts off all crude to Europe next month after pipeline attack

Saudi Aramco cuts off all crude to Europe next month after pipeline attack
Abhinav Jha

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Abhinav J.

Sep 18, 2026, 11:05 AMGenerate Trading Ideas

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  • Saudi Aramco will halt all crude deliveries to European refiners next month after a pipeline attack.
  • The East-West pipeline has been shut since September 10 and could take up to six weeks to repair.
  • Brent crude has swung between $104 and $108 a barrel this week on the disruption.

Saudi Aramco has informed at least two European oil refining customers that they will receive no crude deliveries next month, after an attack on the kingdom’s key pipeline to the Red Sea, Bloomberg reported citing people familiar with the matter.

European customers normally receive Saudi crude through term contracts, guaranteeing steady monthly supply.

The report said those deliveries under long-term contracts will not happen in October.

The decision applies to all European buyers, the people cited in the report said.

The pipeline at the center of the crisis

Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline, a 1,200-kilometer route carrying up to 7 million barrels a day from the kingdom’s eastern oil fields to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, has been shut since a September 10 drone attack damaged at least one pumping station.

Reuters reported on September 17, citing satellite imagery and industry sources, that three pumping stations were actually damaged, one more than initially assessed.

The pipeline had become Saudi Arabia’s critical alternative export route after Iranian attacks brought tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz to a near standstill.

Repair estimates range from a partial restart within days to full recovery taking five to six weeks, the report said.

Europe scrambles for alternatives

European refineries typically receive Saudi crude via Egypt’s Mediterranean port of Sidi Kerir, linked to the Red Sea by pipeline.

With that route now cut, refiners are racing to secure replacement barrels from the North Sea and elsewhere.

Poland’s Orlen, which relies on Saudi Arabia for roughly 40% of the crude feedstock across its three refineries, has issued more than ten tenders since last Friday to secure alternative supplies.

At least three European refiners have already had September cargoes canceled or delayed as far out as November, according to market sources cited by Argus, with two more expected to receive similar notices.

European OECD countries imported 577,000 barrels a day of crude from Saudi Arabia in June, according to the International Energy Agency’s monthly Oil Market Report.

Oil prices swing on the outage

Brent crude climbed as high as $108 a barrel this week before easing to around $104.84 by Friday morning, as Saudi Arabia moved to reroute some exports through the Strait of Hormuz to offset the pipeline outage.

WTI crude traded near $103.

Physical crude cargoes in Europe told a starker story, with some prices reported above $130 a barrel and North Sea Forties crude reaching $136.75, a sign of how tight the actual deliverable market has become even as futures prices moved more modestly.

Consultancy Rapidan Energy expects Saudi crude exports to fall by 400,000 barrels a day this month because of the outage, partly offset by higher flows through Hormuz.

“Risk remains skewed toward a larger disruption if the pipeline outage extends past September or Iran, the Houthis, or other proxy groups escalate attacks,” the firm told clients in a note.

The disruption adds to a broader energy shock already unfolding this month, as elevated oil prices feed into inflation concerns that helped push the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates for the first time since 2023.

https://invezz.com/news/2026/09/18/saudi-aramco-cuts-off-all-crude-to-europe-next-month-after-pipeline-attack/

America’s Diesel Stockpiles Drop to Unprecedented Levels as Worldwide Fuel Squeeze Tightens

Kalbir Talwar

Published Aug 26, 2026

https://www.briefs.co/news/america-s-diesel-stockpiles-drop-to-unprecedented-levels-as/

‘We make the world go ‘round. When we stop, it stops’: Truck drivers speak out as diesel prices reach record highs

Truck drivers say cost of diesel is having a negative impact on their work

Owner-operators say fuel costs cut into pay

Yahathan, a truck driver for 28 years, said diesel prices are having a negative impact on his work because he travels long distances, sometimes for months at a time.

“We’re going to automatically spend over $2,000 a week on fuel,” Yahathan said. “Because in order to make money, the truck has to keep moving, has to keep rolling. So that’s using up fuel every time you roll.”

Yahathan said speed affects how much fuel is used, but drivers who need to reach a destination quickly can spend $70,000 or more. He said he just finished a load and was waiting to hear from a broker about his next one, likely toward Chicago.

Yahathan, who is an owner-operator, said the rising prices are affecting his business.

“I feel that diesel for truck drivers, you know, it shouldn’t go up at a high rate because we make the world go ‘round,” Yahathan said. “Now, without us, no companies wouldn’t even exist.”

Yahathan said company drivers are not responsible for fuel costs, but owner-operators like himself have to manage fuel spending closely to sustain their business. He said the increase is causing him to cut down on loads because of the distances he has to travel. He said he pays for fuel out-of-pocket because he owns his truck.

https://www.walb.com/2026/09/16/we-make-world-go-round-when-we-stop-it-stops-truck-drivers-speak-out-diesel-prices-reach-record-highs/

Farmers explain their diesel usage:

https://youtu.be/Is-40Sn5YqQ?si=14GbCXm2imKAwItq

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US military expansion in Greenland OK’d by Denmark? Well, not really……

But Trump says the opposite to what Denmark and Greenland say….. 

US and Denmark reach deal on Greenland, Trump says

By Gram SlatteryErin BancoJacob Grønholt-Pedersen and Stine Jacobsen

September 18, 202610:13 PM GMT+1Updated 10 hours ago

………..

EXTENT OF AGREEMENT REMAINS UNCLEAR

The Danish prime minister’s office said on Friday that the agreement would strengthen North Atlantic and Arctic security.

Greenland’s prime minister, Jens-Frederik Nielsen, said in a ‌statement that ⁠the agreement recognized Greenland’s interests and the Arctic island’s place in international cooperation. “This benefits us all,” he said.

Much was unclear as of Friday night, including whether any new US bases would be constructed as a result of the agreement. Trump’s Truth Social posts about negotiations or agreements often lack context or specifics.

Imran Bayoumi, a former Pentagon official now with the Atlantic Council think tank, said it would be new if the US can build bases without the approval of ​Greenland or Denmark but that largely “it seems ​that Washington could have achieved ⁠a lot of these objectives through diplomacy and dialogue without straining the broader US-NATO relationship.”

It was also unclear how the agreement would be received in Greenland, an autonomous territory of Denmark. The island’s residents aspire to independence and have bristled at ​US attempts to assert control.

In a separate statement, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that the deal “permanently ​and completely” addressed Washington’s ⁠national security concerns with respect to the island.

“Greenland will forever be part of the strategic defense area of North America and exclude any adversary from it and the surrounding area,” he wrote.

A State Department official, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss specific terms, said the deal prohibits non-NATO countries from building a base in ⁠Greenland and will ​allow only the US and its allies to make unspecified “sensitive investments.” The official said the ​agreement grants the US permanent access, basing and overflight rights, and would continue to apply even if Greenland becomes independent.

https://www.reuters.com/world/china/us-denmark-close-greenland-deal-sources-say-2026-09-18/

Greenland, Denmark say Trump deal won’t compromise sovereignty

By Stine JacobsenJacob Grønholt-Pedersen and Tom Little

September 19, 202611:09 AM GMT+1Updated 2 hours ago

……….

Denmark and Greenland expressed hope that a deal, which is expected to be signed during the UN General Assembly next ⁠week, would end months of uncertainty triggered by Trump’s threats to seize control of Greenland

………

“The US should not control Greenland. I think it’s better if we have cooperation with NATO,” said Jakob ​Ludvigsen, 65.

“Trump should stay far, far, far away from Greenland,” Marianne Hansen, a 71-year-old retired chef, told Reuters in Nuuk. “He should not expect our children ​and grandchildren to become Americans in the future.”

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/greenland-denmark-say-us-deal-will-not-cede-sovereignty-2026-09-19/

There is no indication that the new agreement grants the U.S. any sovereignty over any part of Greenland, and does not transfer property or territory to the U.S.

Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen and Greenlandic Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen confirmed the agreement in a joint statement.

Frederiksen said the agreement will strengthen the security of the Arctic and the North Atlantic, and recognizes “the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Kingdom and the Greenlandic people’s right to self-determination.”

Nielsen added that the deal reflects “Greenland’s interests and its place in the international cooperation. It is to the benefit of us all.”

A 1951 agreement between the U.S. and Denmark already gave Washington wide latitude to expand military bases and deploy troops to the island, something that NATO diplomats have pointed out with some frustration since the start of the Trump administration. It is not clear how this new agreement changes that agreement which already gave Washington much of what Trump has been demanding.

While the U.S. military footprint in Greenland is small, it has fluctuated in size depending on the threat picture throughout the Cold War and after. American warships can dock at a deepwater port there and radar systems feed data back to the Pentagon.

https://www.politico.com/news/2026/09/18/trump-denmark-greenland-new-security-agreement-01084764

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